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US Government Shutdown Plunges The Country Into A Statistical Blackout

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“Due to a lapse in appropriations, this website is not being updated” is the message on the page of the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, which was due to publish the economic growth data for the third quarter of the year on October 30. The agency, which comes under the Department of Commerce, has been inactive due to the federal government shutdown that has now lasted 31 days. This partial closure of a part of the public administration is the first that the U.S. has experienced in seven years and is on track to become the longest — the record so far is the 34-day shutdown that occurred in the winter of 2018-2019, during Donald Trump’s first term.

Republicans and Democrats are unable to agree on various issues which would allow the budget to be extended until the end of the year. This has caused dozens of government agencies, including museums, national parks and even air traffic controllers, to run out of resources. They cannot carry out their activity normally or pay their workers’ salaries.

Although the White House has reserved some resources for the most sensitive departments, whose activity affects national security and the functioning of essential services, most federal agencies are paralyzed or have reduced activity. This is the case for the Bureau of Labor Statistics, that comes under the Department of Labor. This agency also did not publish employment data for the month of September, as it was scheduled to do on October 3. It posted this message on its website instead: “This website is currently not being updated due to the suspension of Federal government services. The last update to the site was Friday, October 24, 2025 [with inflation data that was collected before the shutdown]. Updates to the site will start again when the Federal government resumes operations.”

Beyond the release of inflation statistics last week, the federal government has suspended data collection and statistical reporting, meaning that key indicators such as non-farm payrolls, retail sales, jobless claims, job creation, GDP, and a host of other macroeconomic data are not available.

This statistical blackout makes it difficult for analysts and economists to assess the economic situation, track price trends, and measure the deterioration of the labor market, among other variables. The situation is consequently making it difficult to make economic decisions. This was acknowledged by the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, who has to decide on interest rates based on the dual mandate of price stability and the evolution of the labor market. “What do you do if you’re driving in fog? You slow down,” he said at a press conference on October 29 after approving a quarter-point interest rate cut — a decision made almost blindly.

Prior to the central bank’s move, Powell did not have access to the many official statistics he routinely uses to make his decisions. “There’s a possibility that it would make sense to be more cautious about moving [on rates],” he said. “I’m not committing to that, I’m just saying it’s certainly a possibility that you would say ‘we really can’t see, so let’s slow down,’” he added.

Powell has a lot to contend with. U.S. President Donald Trump continually harasses and insults him in order to push him into resigning early — his term ends in May 2026. Trump wants to control the Fed and get more aggressive interest rate cuts that would accelerate economic activity before the midterm elections, which will be held in a year’s time.

The Fed has also run out of other relevant sources of data. ADP, a private platform that compiles payrolls for 20% of U.S. workers, has stopped supplying the Federal Reserve with statistics. The rupture came after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller gave a speech on August 28 referencing ADP’s data, according to Bloomberg.

ADP, which compiles its statistics in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, based on the payrolls of more than 26 million salaried employees of private companies, continues to publish its reports, but does not offer the granular detail that it once provided to the Fed.

Analysts are now looking ahead to November 7 when the Bureau of Labor Statistics is due to release the new October employment numbers, but it will likely be delayed by the government shutdown. Consequently, all eyes will be on the ADP, which will publish its estimates on November 5.

Data from private companies or centers has been proving valuable since the government shutdown began. Other companies, such as LinkedIn and Revelio Labs, also offer information about the labor market.

“We’re going to collect every scrap of data we can find, evaluate it and think carefully about it. And that’s our job,” Powell said. When asked if the lack of data could affect what the Fed decides in December, he replied: “I’m not saying it definitely will, but it’s possible.”

However, the Washington-born economist sought to calm the markets: “If something material were happening, if there were material developments, I think we would pick that up. I don’t think we’ll be able to have a very granular understanding of the economy.”

The statistical blackout throws the spotlight on Trump’s interventionism in official statistics. Last August, he fired Erika McEntarfer, head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, whom he accused of manipulating monthly labor reports for “political purposes.”

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released a report this week, estimating that the U.S. economy will lose between $7 billion and $14 billion due to the federal government shutdown. The document predicts that the suspension of pay for federal workers and the interruption of food benefits for low-income citizens will temporarily reduce GDP by between one and two percentage points in the fourth quarter of 2025, although it also predicts that most of this loss will be recovered as soon as the government reopens.

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Donald Trump

Greisa Martínez Rosas, Executive Director Of United We Dream: ‘This Isn’t Just About Undocumented Migrants, But Whether We’re Going To Be Able To Maintain Democracy’

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Greisa Martínez Rosas, the executive director of United We Dream — the largest network of young migrants in the United States — witnessed a group of students, as she was leaving school, place a garbage bag over a friend’s head. “They spun him around and around and yelled, ‘Go back to Mexico.’”

She has another memory from that same time, of a phone call she received during her first year of college, when she was preparing to return home to Texas for spring break in 2007. “My mom told me, ‘They got him.’ That was all. She and I knew what she was talking about. It was the family’s recurring nightmare, that one of us would be separated from our family for being a migrant.”

Her father, a man who at that time was the same age Rosas is now, 37, who brought her to the United States from Mexico as a child, the carpenter who supported her and her three younger sisters, had been arrested for not having a license to drive the old pickup truck he used to get to work every day. He was later deported.

Rosas’ long journey on the path of activism begins there, in those memories, and it’s not over yet. Especially not now: “My story is what gives me the courage and strength to continue, but it’s not unique; millions have experienced it.”

When her father was facing deportation, no one in the family knew anything about the law, lawyers, or how much such things cost. “We had to learn very quickly, and unfortunately, we didn’t have good legal advice.” The $5,000 the family borrowed to avoid deportation was useless. So life changed. “The head of the family, the one who brought money home, was gone. My mom had to start working, the bills were impossible to pay, my sisters were little, it was such a difficult time.” The following year, her mother was diagnosed with cancer, so Rosas had to drop out of school.

Today she is convinced that the burden a migrant carries is built upon the systemic ills of the United States. “It’s the story of how systems are working together to make life difficult for migrants,” she asserts. “It’s not just migration; it’s also about access to healthcare and higher education. That’s why I joined United We Dream.”

Since 2010, the organization, 60% of whose members are women and 20% identify as LGBTQ+, has worked to help, support, and empower young migrants. Now, United We Dream, in conjunction with the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) and Abundant Futures Fund (AFF), has launched an unprecedented initiative: the Our Neighbors Defense Fund, which aims to raise at least $30 million to financially support legal organizations.

“We set out to do something new for our organizations,” Rosas says. “The hope is that millions of people will feel inspired to do something different right now, to be part of the solution. We know this is an opportunity for those who feel hopeless, who don’t know what to do, or who are perhaps afraid to take to the streets and participate in the protests.”

Less than three months had passed since Donald Trump’s return to the White House when the new administration made an announcement that would leave many in limbo: federal programs that sustained organizations and groups, which in turn helped thousands of migrants navigate the U.S. justice system, were canceled. Many of these migrants were minors who, without resources, have now had to appear before a judge alone. The toll, according to Rosas, is incalculable.

Greisa Martínez Rosas, directora ejecutiva de United We Dream

“The price is also some lives we’ve lost while they were in detention centers, waiting for a lawyer to have a hearing with a judge,” she says. “This is a matter of life or death for many people. Every month, we announce the deaths of approximately one or two migrants in detention centers, from different causes, but what they all have in common is that they were detained. It’s not normal. Unfortunately, this is a moment that our history books will record, and we all have to have an answer to the question: What did you do when people were suffering like this? None of us are safe; the only salvation is for us to stand together as a community, to reach out to one another. And this fund and our organization are two answers to how to do that.”

In a country with 11 million households that have at least one family member at risk of detention or deportation, where many lack the funds to afford legal representation, this fund, according to its founders, “will help ensure that immigrant families facing the threat of unjust separation, detention, and deportation have access to lawyers.” To date, they have raised over $12 million. Individual donations have totaled approximately $250,000 from some 10,000 people across the country.

“This is an opportunity for them to take action, to help our families,” Rosas says. “Today there are undocumented youths in detention centers, children forced to represent themselves before an immigration judge. So this is a legal emergency to guarantee due process, which is so fundamental to democracy. Because what is happening is not only going to affect immigrants, it’s going to affect all of us.”

According to Rosas, the money they receive goes immediately to the organizations they support. “What’s striking about this fund is that the money raised has come mostly from individuals, whether they have a lot or a little.” The activist — who has personally felt the impact of deportation and has fought more than one battle for the migrant community in the country, including for the “Dreamers,” which later led her to become a DACA (Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals) recipient — has no doubt that the United States is experiencing unprecedented events.

“The people in control of this government want unlimited power, without consequences. Many people came to this country fleeing authoritarian governments, and that’s what’s happening here now. It’s something that hasn’t happened at this level before,” she maintains. “This isn’t just about whether you’re undocumented or not; we’re seeing young people born in this country being detained by ICE [Immigration and Customs Enforcement], [and the administration is] using immigration to give unlimited power and money to agencies like that. So we have to act with great courage, with great clarity, and understand that this isn’t just about undocumented people or migrants, but about whether or not we’re going to be able to maintain democracy.”

Greisa Martínez Rosas, directora ejecutiva de United We Dream

Rosas has felt the weight of the hatred that keeps American society so polarized today. At the beginning of the year, in front of thousands of listeners, she acknowledged that she had lived as an undocumented immigrant in the country, and that, nevertheless, she “wasn’t afraid.” That was enough for several members of the MAGA movement to turn against her after the talk.

“They used my image, demanded my deportation, and tried to humiliate me. And although I lived in great fear this year, I’m not actually afraid,” she says. “I’ve survived difficult things. I’m not 17 anymore. I’ve been part of a student movement that has had victories and changed the trajectory of this country. My intention is that even if people feel afraid right now, in the future they’ll understand that we survived this together. That’s why I work every day.”

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Armas nucleares

Putin Desafía A Trump Y Afirma Que Rusia Está Preparada Para Probar Armas Nucleares

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El presidente ruso, Vladímir Putin, ha advertido al estadounidense, Donald Trump, de que su país volverá a realizar pruebas con armas de destrucción masiva si Washington da el primer paso. Trump ordenó hace unos días retomar los ensayos de armas nucleares —paralizados desde hace más de 30 años— después de que el propio Kremlin probase nuevos misiles y drones submarinos capaces de llevar el apocalipsis a decenas de miles de kilómetros de distancia. En menos de tres meses, ambos presidentes han pasado de la camaradería que escenificaron en su reunión en Alaska en agosto a intercambiar amenazas de detonar bombas nucleares.

“Si Estados Unidos u otros participantes del Tratado de Prohibición Completa de los Ensayos Nucleares (TPCE) realizan estos test, Rusia también deberá tomar las medidas apropiadas”, ha subrayado Putin ante el Consejo de Seguridad ruso este miércoles. “Rusia siempre ha cumplido estrictamente sus obligaciones con el tratado y no tenemos planes de incumplirlas”, aseguró el dirigente ruso ante los principales responsables de los aparatos de seguridad y defensa de la nación. Pero a continuación matizó que Moscú considerará el pacto papel mojado si otro país lo incumple.

Las autoridades rusas escenificaron así un claro mensaje a Washington, aunque dejaron abierta la posibilidad de dar marcha atrás. Algunos miembros del Consejo de Seguridad ruso manifestaron que no estaba claro qué había querido decir Trump al anunciar a través de su red social la reanudación de los test estadounidenses “en igualdad de condiciones” con “los programas de pruebas nucleares llevados a cabo por otros países”.

Lo que se suponía que iba a ser una reunión ordinaria del Consejo de Seguridad ruso sobre asuntos de transportes se convirtió de pronto en un aviso a Estados Unidos a través de las apelaciones a Putin de sus altos cargos.

El presidente de la Duma Estatal, Viacheslav Volodin, abordó la cuestión de la supuesta necesidad de realizar pruebas nucleares durante su turno de palabra. Posteriormente, el ministro de Defensa, Andréi Belousov, declaró que sus fuerzas están preparadas para detonar una cabeza nuclear.

“Es recomendable comenzar de inmediato los preparativos para las pruebas nucleares a gran escala. La disponibilidad del sitio de pruebas de Nóvaya Zemlya permite su rápida realización”, manifestó Belousov.

Este archipiélago del círculo polar ártico fue uno de los principales sitios de pruebas nucleares de la Unión Soviética. Moscú no ha realizado ningún test, al menos oficialmente, desde 1990, el año previo al desmoronamiento de la URSS. Tanto el Kremlin como la Casa Blanca firmaron el tratado en 1996 con el compromiso de poner fin a todas las pruebas nucleares, pero el Parlamento estadounidense nunca lo ratificó y Putin revocó su aprobación en el 2023.

Tanto el exministro de Defensa y actual presidente del Consejo de Seguridad ruso, Serguéi Shoigú, como el jefe del Servicio de Inteligencia Exterior, Serguéi Narishkin, declararon haber intentado recabar información de su contraparte norteamericana sin éxito. “No comprendemos del todo las medidas y acciones que tomará Estados Unidos”, admitió Shoigú.

Salto cualitativo

A pesar de las buenas palabras mutuas que se han dirigido Putin y Trump durante las negociaciones sobre el futuro de Ucrania, su carrera armamentista ha dado un salto cualitativo este año.

Trump anunció en mayo el futuro despliegue de un sistema antimisiles espacial cuyo coste inicial se estima en 175.000 millones de dólares. Su Cúpula Dorada, integrada por una avanzada red de satélites e interceptores, protegerá, en teoría, todo el territorio estadounidense ante un eventual ataque por cualquier punto de su frontera.

Rusia, por su lado, ha probado en los últimos días dos armas que Putin definió como “invencibles” durante su presentación al mundo en 2018. Se trata del dron submarino Poseidón y el misil 9M730 Burevéstnik, ambos alimentados por motores nucleares. A pesar de su baja velocidad, inferior a la del sonido, su punto fuerte es su alcance ilimitado: el Poseidón puede navegar miles de kilómetros sin ser detectado, y el Burevéstnik es capaz de rodear todo el Pacífico para atacar por el flanco sur norteamericano, menos defendido.

No obstante, la Cúpula Dorada de Trump es capaz, al menos en teoría, de desactivar esta amenaza. Este desequilibrio estratégico provocó la ira de Putin, que enfatizó en septiembre que no descarta incluso una escalada militar. “Recalco, y nadie debe dudarlo, que Rusia es capaz de responder a cualquier amenaza existente o emergente, y esta respuesta no será verbal, sino mediante el uso de medidas técnico-militares”, apuntó entonces el dirigente ruso.

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Resounding Victories In New York, Virginia, And New Jersey Restore Faith To The Democrats

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Democrats woke up Wednesday after a 12-month nightmare with the feeling that their inability to connect with their voters and win elections like the one they lost exactly a year ago against Republican President Donald Trump was nothing but a bad dream.

Faith in the party’s chances of victory returned with resounding wins in New York — where the socialist candidate Zohran Mamdani won the mayoral race in the most anticipated contest of the night — as well as in the gubernatorial elections in Virginia (which Abigail Spanberger turned blue) and New Jersey (which Mikie Sherrill won). In both states, the centrist candidates swept their Republican opponents. The Democrats, moreover, won almost everything where they ran: from the Detroit mayoral race to the vote to stop Somerville, Massachusetts, from investing in Israel.

The dose of good news — and the adrenaline rush after a year of post-mortem examinations of the November 2024 defeat — was completed by Californians voting “yes” on Proposition 50, which put to a referendum the efforts of Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom to redraw voting districts in California. Newsom managed to convince his fellow citizens that only with tactics like this is it possible to defeat Trump, who is pushing to alter electoral maps across the country to favor his supporters in the 2026 midterm elections.

The effect of that vote goes beyond the confines of the most populous territory in the country, because it secures for the Democrats five seats up for grabs in next year’s midterms, in which Republicans risk losing control of one or both Houses of Congress.

Left turn?

The California result arrived around midnight due to the time difference. By then, it was clear what had happened, although there was no consensus on how. The party, which celebrated its victories as a referendum on Trump’s second administration — which is relentlessly advancing down its authoritarian path 10 months after he took office — remains divided on the best way to continue winning. Is Mamdani’s progressivism and shift to the left the key? Or could his phenomenal campaign — from which there is much to learn about how to seduce the electorate in record time and activate young people — never have ended so well in the purple states, a color that comes from mixing Democratic blue and Republican red?

These questions meant that each faction of the party had something to celebrate Wednesday, and, equally, that the victory did not illuminate a single path toward the 2028 presidential elections. “The important thing,” Democratic Congresswoman Nydia Velázquez of New York explains to EL PAÍS, “is that we have sent a signal to the Republicans: there is an erosion of public support for the president, whose approval rating is at rock bottom.” “These elections have made it clear what battles we must fight and what positions we must adopt to win. It’s not about moderates or progressives, but about listening to the voters and fighting again for the working class,” adds Velázquez, who is on the left side of the coalition.

Both Spanberger and Sherrill presented themselves as moderate candidates, and both won by a landslide with over 56% of the vote. Their life stories further reinforced this moderate image. The new governor of Virginia was a CIA agent. The governor of New Jersey was a Navy helicopter pilot. They also share the fact that they entered politics in opposition to Trump and successfully positioned themselves as an alternative to the policies of the Republican president.

La demócrata Abigail Spanberger, el martes, en Richmond (Virginia).

Mamdani, for his part, tried to focus on municipal issues such as rent freezes and free buses for New Yorkers, although with Trump in power, everything is inevitably overshadowed by the national circus, with him as its sole ringmaster. The young and proud socialist’s emphasis on affordability in a city ravaged by financial issues, where residents struggle to make ends meet, has proven to be a successful strategy that can be replicated elsewhere. It also stands in stark contrast to the campaign that led Kamala Harris to lose in every key state last year to Trump, whose candidacy successfully convinced voters that only Republicans cared about the cost of living and rampant inflation.

On Tuesday, when the debacle was already apparent, the U.S. president rushed to distance himself from the runners in his party with an all-caps message that once again revealed him as a team player only when the team wins. He wrote: “Trump wasn’t on the ballot, and shutdown [which on Tuesday shattered its all-time record with no end in sight] were the two reasons that Republicans lost elections tonight, according to pollsters.” On Wednesday, he addressed a group of conservative senators at a breakfast at the White House, asking them to examine their consciences, as if the matter had nothing to do with him.

Mikie Sherrill, nueva gobernadora de Nueva Jersey, en la noche de su victoria electoral.

Despite the blatant disclaimer of responsibility, Trump has a point: the results in Virginia — which until Tuesday had a Republican governor and is home to some 150,000 federal workers — indicate that voters blame the president’s party for cutting off public funding. They also show that the Democrats’ risky decision not to vote with their rivals to reopen the government until they receive guarantees that there will be no cuts to healthcare subsidies is proving to be a winning move in the arena of public opinion, despite the harm being done to federal employees who have stopped receiving their paychecks. Many have been forced to rely on food banks to fill their pantries.

Sherrill’s victory in New Jersey, meanwhile, hides hopeful signs for the party, which has seen the return to the fold of some of the Hispanic and African American minority voters who fled in the 2024 presidential elections.

The respite that Tuesday’s elections have given Democrats has not, however, resolved the major outstanding issue: who will lead the party back to the White House? Mamdani cannot run for president because he was born in Uganda and the law prohibits him from doing so. Harris, who has just published a memoir in which she blames everyone but herself for her defeat, has not ruled out the idea. And among the names that have been solidified in the predictions for months, from progressive congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to former Chicago mayor Rahm Emanuel, none clearly stands out.

Newsom, who emerged strengthened from the Proposition 50 referendum as someone unafraid to take shortcuts to achieve results, is another prospect. On Tuesday, he strove to make his victory appearance what history may ultimately remember as the first speech of his presidential campaign.

El gobernador de California, Gavin Newsom, el martes pasado en Sacramento.

“Tonight was not just a victory for the Democratic Party. It was a victory for the United States of America, for the people of this country and the principles that our founding fathers lived and died for,” Newsom said.

Now it remains to be seen how far this momentum will take the Democrats, and how they plan to regain their momentum after a year in limbo. In a country perpetually in election mode, the campaign for the 2026 midterm elections, in which the entire House of Representatives and a third of the Senate will be renewed, is officially underway a year before they take place.

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