Connect with us

Australia

Saul Newman: ‘If You’re Elon Musk And You’ve Bought Everything, The Only Thing Left To Sell Is A Way To Escape Death’

Published

on

saul-newman:-‘if-you’re-elon-musk-and-you’ve-bought-everything,-the-only-thing-left-to-sell-is-a-way-to-escape-death’

Jiroemon Kimura was the oldest man in the world until his death in 2013. When he died, he had lived for 116 years and 54 days. His secret to longevity, the Japanese supercentenarian said, was to always eat light meals.

Kimura had eight children and a wife. He also had two official birth dates and was listed as having finished elementary school in three different years: 1907, 1909 and 1911. The story gets even stranger: some records indicate that, during his lifetime, Jiroemon Kimura admitted to lying about his age.

This is one of the many seemingly bizarre cases that Australian researcher Saul Justin Newman, 41, compiles in his book, titled Morbid: Debunking Modern Longevity Science (2026). He analyzes many of the myths surrounding studies of human longevity and the so-called “blue zones,” where people are said to live much longer than anywhere else on the planet.

Over the last decade, Newton’s research — which, back in 2024, earned him an Ig Nobel Prize in Demography — has led him to argue that the extraordinary cases of people living past 100 have less to do with genetics or diet than with statistical errors and the lack of reliable birth certificates.

In an interview with EL PAÍS via video call, the Australian researcher argues that the limit on human lifespan is simply something that fascinates people. “It’s much more important to increase average lifespan and quality of life, which is what medicine does,” he says.

Question. Are blue zones just a myth?

Answer. Just look at how some of them were discovered. A National Geographic editor told a reporter: “I need you to find me a Blue Zone in the United States.” And he goes and finds one on the road between his home and Las Vegas: a religious community in Loma Linda. This isn’t just a simple anecdote; the level of scientific evidence regarding blue zones is very low, and the conflicts of interest among the people who investigate them are very high. So, we really have no idea if blue zones actually exist. And that’s not surprising when you consider that, even today, a quarter of the world’s children don’t have a birth certificate. How are you going to determine where people live past 100 if birth records aren’t reliable?

Q. What’s the biggest scientific problem with the way that these blue zones have been presented to the public?

A. There’s a fundamental mathematical problem. Generally, in any statistical process, even the most precise one, there are measurement errors. There’s noise in the data. But in studies of human populations, this takes on enormous importance. Let’s say we want to analyze the longevity of 100,000 50-year-olds, but a group of 100 40-year-olds decides to falsify their documents in order to appear 50. It’s clear that the survival probability of this group will be higher, because they’re all 10 years younger. As time passes, the percentage of the population represented by the liars will increase. By the time they reach 100, this group of people — who are actually 90 — will likely represent almost the entire remaining living population. These are rare and random errors, but they cannot be ignored.

Q. Maybe these errors weren’t so rare a century ago.

A. Of course, they were much more common in birth certificates from 100 years ago. Currently, in America, something like 5% to 10% of the population has an inaccurate age. And since paperwork is the only way we have to verify a person’s age, we’re facing a problem that can’t be solved.

Q. How, then, did we end up identifying these places as blue zones?

A. The way to verify the age of a centenarian is to review their documents and trust that both the person reviewing them and the centenarian are telling the truth. However, in science, you should never accept something simply on faith. It’s a foundational principle: things must be proven. This sets up a situation in which it’s extremely easy for the process of declaring blue zones to become corrupted. In the book, I detail several cases of conflicts of interest, of people who validate data from centenarians and, at the same time, profit from it.

Q. Do you have to pay to be certified as a blue zone?

A. Some blue zones were identified by scientists. Some were declared by businessmen. But now, there’s an organization — Blue Zones — that sells certifications. A New York Times investigation revealed that prices range from $3 million to $40 million for the blue zone designation, but it’s difficult to verify the exact figures. It’s incredible, because the person handing out these certificates is the same one who — without any scientific training — found a blue zone while driving to Las Vegas.

Q. What made you suspect that there were inconsistencies with the data and the scientific process behind the blue zones?

A. Initially, what interested me most was the problem of the data quality, of the existence of these false centenarians. As I went through this process, I discovered worse and worse levels of data quality. The closer you look at it, the worse it is: you end up with entire populations of 100-year-olds effectively disappearing. The other day, Japan announced that it had just surpassed 100,000 people over the age of 100 for the first time. But back in 2010, a similar announcement was made, and shortly afterward, Japan acknowledged that thousands of those centenarians were only alive on paper. In reality, they’d been dead for a long time.

Q. Your book includes other similar cases.

A. In Greece, for example, where I did some investigative work in 2018, I found out that thousands of people listed as centenarians had died, but their families were still regularly collecting their pension checks. This isn’t anecdotal: the level of misinformation is just creeping everywhere. A few weeks ago, data from Sardinia’s blue zone was presented to the European Parliament in a debate on alcohol consumption and health. The objective was to defend the benefits of drinking wine. The person on the panel was Dr. Gianni Pes, the gentleman who’s been paid by Blue Zones for roughly 20 years now.

Q. I’m going to have to review my family data, because my grandmother had an aunt who lived to be 107 years old. But maybe the birth certificate is just incorrect…

A. There are many reasons why these errors occur. Failures in record-keeping, illiteracy, fraud attempts… In Italy, for example, there are many cases of people who falsified their documents to dodge the draft, especially before and during World War II.

Q. In the book, you write that those who hold longevity records are often people who drink and smoke excessively, hailing from the poorest neighborhoods of their cities. Why have we believed these records?

A. Because they’re charming people: how can we say “no” to an old person telling us their stories? We also like to believe in a mythical, distant place, where everything is wonderful and people live a long time, even if they smoke or drink excessively. Death is scary. But there’s this alternative narrative that someone puts in front of you, and it’s all too easy to believe

Q. We’ve long assumed that certain behaviors, such as having strong social ties or engaging in physical activity, help us live longer. Are these behaviors really supported by robust science?

A. Some are. It’s clear that exercise is better for your health. But others, like drinking alcohol every day, are crazy things to recommend. The fact is that the inhabitants of the blue zones, in many cases, don’t actually follow these behaviors. Okinawa, Japan, is the clearest example. They had the lowest rate of eating salad in the country, but were second-highest in alcohol consumption and the highest in KFC consumption. For many years, the population over the age of 75 had the worst body mass index (BMI) in the country. And yet, this remote island supposedly is home to the largest number of centenarians in Japan.

Q. Why is longevity so appealing to us? And, above all, why is it so marketable?

A. Because it sells itself. Nobody wants to die. Also, if the treatment or prescription you’re selling to live longer doesn’t work, nobody is going to leave a bad review. Nobody can go online and say, “It didn’t work, I died.” There are records of longevity-related frauds dating back more than 2,000 years.

Q. Earlier this year, Elon Musk said that aging is a problem we can solve. Do you think longevity research is experiencing a new boom thanks to tech moguls?

A. More money is being invested than ever before, and the results are worse than ever. If you’re Elon Musk, the richest man in the world, and you’ve bought everything, the only thing left to sell is a way to escape death. Some of the vendors have made an incredible amount of money without producing a single reliable result. I think it’s very interesting to see who’s investing in this business. Billionaires are, but you won’t find a single pharmaceutical company involved, even though having a drug capable of delaying death could become the best-selling medicine on the planet. Pfizer, Merck and other firms aren’t investing a thing.

Sign up for our weekly newsletter to get more English-language news coverage from EL PAÍS USA Edition

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

Australia

Ten European Countries Share Evidence On Alleged Torture Of Gaza Flotilla Activists

Published

on

By

ten-european-countries-share-evidence-on-alleged-torture-of-gaza-flotilla-activists

Ten European countries are investigating alleged abuses committed against their nationals while taking part in expeditions organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, which was carrying humanitarian aid to Gaza and was intercepted by Israel in international waters.

Prosecutors from 10 European Union member states — Spain, France, Italy, Portugal, Belgium, the Netherlands, Poland, Slovakia, Sweden and Finland — along with Australia, have been cooperating and sharing information on cases and investigations opened following complaints against Israeli politicians, officials and military commanders, including members of Benjamin Netanyahu’s cabinet, for torture, kidnapping, ill-treatment and other alleged crimes. This was confirmed to EL PAÍS by legal sources who took part in a meeting held on September 16 in The Hague.

All the countries that attended the meeting have some form of inquiry underway into the flotilla raid, according to those sources, who said the purpose of the gathering was to exchange information on their respective investigations. The meeting, which lasted around eight hours, took place within a framework of cooperation coordinated by Eurojust, the EU’s judicial cooperation agency. Australian representatives attended as guests. In at least five other European countries, including Germany, Norway and Austria, complaints have been filed over the same events, but the authorities have not yet decided whether to open formal investigations.

Most of the states represented at the meeting were primarily interested in gathering information that could support cases they have already opened, or may pursue, in their own jurisdictions. These focus on alleged crimes committed against their citizens during the flotilla raid in October 2025 and when a second humanitarian mission was intercepted by Israeli forces in international waters in May this year, the sources said.

The first reports of the meeting in The Hague emerged in Italy, according to an exclusive report by the newspaper La Repubblica. The Rome Attorney General’s Office, headed by chief prosecutor Francesco Lo Voi, later confirmed in a statement that meetings had taken place with representatives from other countries, without providing further details. A spokesperson for Eurojust, meanwhile, declined to comment “on possible meetings or confirm the existence of ongoing investigations.”

Investigations in Spain

Spain was represented at the meeting by Dolores Delgado, the prosecutor responsible for coordinating human rights and democratic memory cases within Spain’s Attorney General’s Office. Delgado launched an investigation from within the Attorney General’s Office in 2025 into crimes allegedly committed by Israel in Gaza.

Also present was investigating judge Francisco de Jorge, who is overseeing an ongoing case at Spain’s High Court, the Audiencia Nacional, concerning the flotilla raid. In July, he agreed to hear a criminal complaint against Eyal Zamir, chief of staff of the Israeli military, and Ram Rotberg, commander of the Israeli navy, allowing the case to proceed.

These sources note that, unlike other countries, Spain has been investigating the matter for many months. In June 2025, after receiving a report from the National Police, Delgado opened a case file into the actions of the Israeli military against the civilian population in Gaza. The aim was to gather evidence and submit it to the proceedings already under way against Israel before the International Court of Justice (ICJ), as well as to the cases against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Israel’s then defence minister, Yoav Gallant, before the International Criminal Court (ICC).

After the flotilla raid took place in October last year, Spanish prosecutors incorporated the incident into their investigation and, according to prosecution sources, prepared reports and took testimony from several of those affected. Among them was Ada Colau, former mayor of Barcelona, who was travelling aboard one of the vessels in the expedition.

However, once proceedings were opened at the High Court, every aspect of the investigation relating to the raid on the vessels had to be transferred to Judge Francisco de Jorge. Under Spanish law, when an investigating judge opens proceedings into specific events, prosecutors cannot conduct a parallel investigation into the same facts.

The High Court case also has a distinctive feature. Unlike other countries, which have opened investigations because their own citizens were affected and want to examine crimes that may have been committed against them, Judge De Jorge accepted the complaints against the two Israeli commanders after concluding that, under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, Spain has jurisdiction only over events that took place aboard flotilla vessels sailing under the Spanish flag.

According to his interpretation, those vessels were, for practical legal purposes, Spanish territory. Spain can therefore investigate alleged crimes committed on board them, regardless of the nationality of the victims. The judge stressed, however, that his jurisdiction ends once passengers were transferred to Israeli territory or to other vessels. In other words, he cannot investigate alleged abuses committed after flotilla activists left the Spanish-flagged ships.

For freelance journalist Néstor Prieto, one of the flotilla participants who led the complaint before the High Court, the investigation is “positive, but insufficient,” because the alleged rights violations continued during the activists’ several days in detention and because it excludes participants who were not travelling aboard Spanish-flagged vessels.

Periodista EL PAÍS Flotilla a Gaza

The reporter, who was part of the October 2025 mission aboard the Adara, says several military vessels surrounded their ship, fired tear gas and boarded it. From that moment, they spent “between 12 and 14 hours” cut off from the outside world and crammed into the vessel’s cabin. During that time, they were subjected to physical and verbal abuse, threatened with firearms, and given little access to food, water or medication. Upon arrival in port, those detained were transferred to a prison, where they remained until being deported more than 72 hours later.

In the flotilla that set sail in May, the level of violence escalated significantly. As EL PAÍS contributor Ignacio Ladrón de Guevara, who was aboard one of the vessels, later recounted, the beatings and mistreatment were so severe that the mission recorded at least 35 bone fractures and more than 10 allegations of sexual abuse. Taser shocks and stun grenades also became part of daily life for members of the flotilla.

Saif Abukeshek, one of the leaders of the Global Sumud Flotilla, who was detained during the May mission, believes all these allegations should ultimately lead to convictions.

“They carried out a military interception in European waters and entered Greek territory. The violations committed by Israel are very clear and the orders that were given were made public,” he says, referring to threats issued by the Israeli government.

The Palestinian-Spanish activist spoke to EL PAÍS from the Italian port of Augusta, where campaigners were carrying out actions at sea to prevent commercial ships bound for Israel from making a stop there.

Israel’s chain of command under scrutiny

Bound, forced to kneel and publicly humiliated. That was how Itamar Ben Gvir, Israel’s far-right national security minister, chose to present the flotilla activists detained in May.

“This is how we welcome terror supporters. Welcome to Israel,” the minister declared in a video he posted on social media. The footage sparked an international outcry and even drew criticism from Netanyahu. In June, prosecutors in Italy opened an investigation into Ben Gvir on allegations of kidnapping and torture.

Following complaints filed by 50 Italian passengers, prosecutors decided to go a step further and announced a broader investigation targeting not only Ben Gvir but also 13 other senior Israeli officials, including Defence Minister Israel Katz. Unlike Spain, the Italian authorities are seeking to establish the full sequence of events, from the moment the vessels were forcibly boarded until the flotilla participants were deported from Israel.

Israel’s entire chain of command is under scrutiny, from Eyal Zamir, commander of the Israel Defense Forces, and Daniel Levy, head of the national police, to the officer in charge of the Ashdod naval base, the port where the activists were brought ashore, and the governor of Ketziot Prison, where several of them were held for days.

After being named in the investigation, Israel’s prison authorities said they had acted “in accordance with the law and with full respect for the activists’ fundamental rights.”

Although they are examining abuses allegedly committed during two different flotilla missions, Italian prosecutors argue that the cases point to a modus operandi involving systematic violence and human rights violations. They also reinforce the view that, although the alleged abuses took place at different times, they were carried out under the same chain of command.

What began as isolated complaints and condemnations has developed into a growing wave of cases moving through European courts. In June, judicial investigations were opened in France and Poland. That same month, Australian police announced that they were investigating allegations of rape and torture made by a group of activists from their country.

In the Netherlands, seven flotilla participants filed a complaint in July accusing Israeli military personnel of sexual assault. In August, the Turkish government, one of the strongest critics of the Israeli authorities, issued arrest warrants for 35 Israeli suspects, including Netanyahu, over alleged crimes against humanity and torture committed against flotilla participants.

Sign up for our weekly newsletter to get more English-language news coverage from EL PAÍS USA Edition

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Advertisement

Spanish Real Estate Agents

Tags

Trending

Copyright © 2017 Spanish Property & News